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Publication Name World Journal of Gastrointestinal Surgery
Manuscript ID 112175
Country China
Category Gastroenterology & Hepatology
Manuscript Type Retrospective Study
Article Title Predicting unplanned extubation risk in patients with endoscopic nasobiliary drainage
Manuscript Source Unsolicited Manuscript
All Author List Wen-Jing Li, Na Mi, Xi Huang, Chang-Sha Liu, Shu-Ting Zhang, Yu Liao and Yan Yu
Funding Agency and Grant Number
Funding Agency Grant Number
Chongqing Municipal Health Commission Project 2024WSJK017
Corresponding Author Yan Yu, Department of Hepatobiliary and Pancreatic Surgery, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Army Military Medical University, No. 83 Xinqiao Street, Shapingba District, Chongqing 400037, China. yuyan2025@tmmu.edu.cn
Key Words Nursing safety; Nomogram; Risk prediction model; Unplanned extubation; Endoscopic nasobilirary drainage
Core Tip This multicenter retrospective study developed and validated a six-factor risk prediction model for unplanned nasobiliary tube extubation after endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography plus endoscopic nasobiliary drainage. Independent predictors included age ≥ 61 years, smoking history, prolonged fasting, catheter duration, consciousness change, and low serum albumin. The nomogram demonstrated excellent discrimination (area under the curve = 0.881) and clinical utility. A total score ≥ 199 indicates high risk. This tool enables early identification of high-risk patients and supports targeted nursing interventions to reduce complications, hospitalization time, and healthcare costs.
Citation Li WJ, Mi N, Huang X, Liu CS, Zhang ST, Liao Y, Yu Y. Predicting unplanned extubation risk in patients with endoscopic nasobiliary drainage. World J Gastrointest Surg 2025; In press
Received
2025-08-06 09:15
Peer-Review Started
2025-08-06 09:15
To Make the First Decision
Return for Revision
2025-08-26 08:32
Revised
2025-09-03 09:49
Second Decision
2025-10-13 02:50
Accepted by Journal Editor-in-Chief
Accepted by Executive Editor-in-Chief
2025-10-13 08:51
Articles in Press
2025-10-13 08:51
Publication Fee Transferred
2025-09-05 02:14
Edit the Manuscript by Language Editor
Typeset the Manuscript
ISSN 1948-9366 (online)
Open Access This article is an open-access article that was selected by an in-house editor and fully peer-reviewed by external reviewers. It is distributed in accordance with the Creative Commons Attribution NonCommercial (CC BY-NC 4.0) license, which permits others to distribute, remix, adapt, build upon this work non-commercially, and license their derivative works on different terms, provided the original work is properly cited and the use is non-commercial. See: https://creativecommons.org/Licenses/by-nc/4.0/
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