Publication Name	World Journal of Gastroenterology
Manuscript ID	124494
DOI	10.3748/wjg.124494
Country	China

Category	Medicine, General & Internal
Manuscript Type	Retrospective Study
Article Title	Predicting spontaneous passage of common bile duct stones: Development of an endoscopic ultrasonography-based nomogram to optimize endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography utilization
Manuscript Source	Unsolicited Manuscript
All Author List	Yu Wang, Chen Shi, Xiao-Fa Wang, Li-Xue Zhang, Chen-Ao Zhang, Cui Hu, Bing-Bing Wang, Jun-Jun Bao and Qiao Mei
Funding Agency and Grant Number
Corresponding Author	Qiao Mei, Department of Gastroenterology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University, No. 218 Jixi Road, Hefei 230022, Anhui Province, China. meiqiao@ahmu.edu.cn
Key Words	Common bile duct stones; Spontaneous stone passage; Endoscopic ultrasonography; Choledocholithiasis; Endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography; Nomogram; Prediction model
Core Tip	Endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography is the standard treatment for common bile duct stones (CBDS) but carries procedure-related risks. Because CBDS may pass spontaneously, some patients may avoid unnecessary endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography. We developed and internally validated an endoscopic ultrasonography-based nomogram incorporating five independent predictors to estimate the probability of spontaneous CBDS passage. The model demonstrated moderate discrimination, good calibration, and potential clinical utility. This nomogram may facilitate individualized risk assessment and support clinical decision-making; however, it should complement rather than replace clinical judgment and requires prospective multicenter validation before routine clinical application.
Citation	Wang Y, Shi C, Wang XF, Zhang LX, Zhang CA, Hu C, Wang BB, Bao JJ, Mei Q. Predicting spontaneous passage of common bile duct stones: Development of an endoscopic ultrasonography-based nomogram to optimize endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography utilization. World J Gastroenterol 2026; In press DOI: https://doi.org/10.3748/wjg.124494
PDF	124494-in-press.pdf

Received	2026-06-17 08:56
Peer-Review Started	2026-06-17 08:56
First Decision by Editorial Office Director
Return for Revision	2026-07-13 03:35
Revised	2026-07-22 09:39
Publication Fee Transferred	2026-08-04 04:54
Second Decision by Editor	2026-09-03 02:51
Second Decision by Editor-in-Chief
Final Decision by Editorial Office Director	2026-09-04 10:19
Articles in Press	2026-09-04 10:19
Edit the Manuscript by Language Editor
Typeset the Manuscript

ISSN	1007-9327 (print) and 2219-2840 (online)
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